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System Analysis and Decisions

System Analysis and Decisions, Inc. offers research and consulting services in the areas of global simulation of sustainable development processes in the context of quality of life and safety of world population. We consider the concept of “sustainable development” based on the theory of noo-sphere created by Vladimir Vernadsky (1922), Edward le Roy (1927), Pierre de Chardin (1928). In the first half of the last century they declared that the Homo sapiens with his mind and activities began strongly influence on the natural development of the environment or biosphere.

The theory and practice has confirmed that after several decades the noosphere doctrine proves to be a necessary platform for the development of the “triune” concept of sustainable ecological, social and economic development. In 1996 the United Nations formulated this concept in the following way: “System coordination of economic, ecological and human development in such a way that from one generation to the other the quality and safety of life should not decrease, the environmental conditions should not worsen and the social progress should meet the needs of every person”.

This concept was generalized by a number of international organizations, among them Rome Club, International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IASA), Institute for System Research (USSR), International Federation of Institutes for Advanced Studies, Institute for Applied System Analysis of National academy of science of Ukraine. The problems of environment and sustainable development were discussed at the UN conferences and summits, (1972 - Stockholm, 1992 - Rio de Janeiro, 2002 - Johannesburg). Thus, the new concept has united the three main components of the sustainable development: economic, ecological and social/Institutional. It is recommended to carry out «Transition from One-Dimensional Development to its Harmonization with Respect to Three constituents: {Economic; Ecological; Social/Institutional}.

Today, there is an actual problem to create tools for quantitative measurement of this complicated process, which would allow conduct its simulation and comparative analysis. That is why the purpose of this research is working out a sustainable development measuring system based on the use of interdisciplinary data characterizing each of its three dimensions. By using this measuring system which we call Sustainable Development Gauging Matrix (SDGM) we carry out global simulation of sustainable development in the context of quality of life and security of population. Also we analyze the impact of the totality of global threats on this development. The set of mathematical models and methods created by company allows to develop recommendations regarding the ways of improving the standards of quality and safety of life in particular countries and regions of the world by the global computer simulation of sustainable development process and human security analysis.

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